The Scoop Post: NBA Picks 4/4 (57% ATS)

Saturday, April 4, 2009

4-1 yesterday ATS

Todays winners will be....

Anonymous said...: Dude. I have been kind of paying attention to this the last couple of days. The system seems pretty good. I would be interested in how u came up with this.

Tony; April 4, 2009 at 8:47 PM
PWA said...: Hey Tony,

So the premise of the system is....what would the winning percentage be if you looked at 4 unique systems, all of which have good success alone and attempted to find a consensus. So essentially what the system does is find lines that are vulnerable based on the fact that 4 out of 4 systems independently identified a weakness in the line.

So, I researched what some of the top documented systems were. I import the data into a spreadsheet and use some excel trickery to instantly figure out where the vulnerable lines are.

I use a couple of methods in a sort of a combination. #1 is a straight out consensus. 4 out of 4 systems ID'd a certain team. #2 is a mathmatical calculation of the average line of the systems I use in my formula. If an average line is 2 or more points different than the actual line, it qualifies. So its a built in buffer.

Anyway...there is a lot of numbers crunching, but that is the basics of it.; April 6, 2009 at 4:01 PM