As a refresher on the system....
What the system basically boils down to is using existing data to create an "expected" line and then comparing that to the actual spread. So what is that data? Well, what I did in attempting to get good results was find out who the top documented cappers are. From that point I determined that if 4 or more seperate systems all seem to detect a vulnerability in a certain line, there must be something up. Therefore, finding that consensus among top systems is a valuable part of my formula.
In addition to finding a consensus, I also dump a ton of information into EXCEL and attempt to locate further vulnerability in lines that appear to be off by 2 or more points. When the line appears to favor one team by more than 4 points AND there is a consensus, I label it a "best bet" pick.
I am planning on putting the "expected line" up on the site so you can pay more attention to that
for your own purposes....
Enjoy the games and lets see if we can continue to beat the heck out of the "experts"
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